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Late Word from the Oil Patch
by Alan Caruba
As I am sure you have read or heard somewhere, “the world is running out of oil” and we’re all doomed. Unless we can figure out how to run our cars on soy sauce, it’s back to bicycles and
horses.
Well, not quite. Here’s what a U.S. Energy Information
Administration 2002 report had to say: “At year-2000 consumption rates, the
world has many thousands of years of crude oil and crude oil substitutes (heavy
oil, oil sands, and shale oil) remaining.”
When people tell me that America
is too dependent on foreign oil imports, I keep telling them we have lots of
oil, but thanks to the environmentalists, our own government has made it
either too costly to get at it or access has been restricted because the bulk of
our undeveloped energy resources is found on federal lands or federally
controlled areas offshore. This is what happens when the federal government owns
nearly half the landmass of the nation.
Myths about oil are constantly
repeated by the mainstream media. The truth, however, is available from open
sources such as a U.S. Geological Survey that estimates the United States has
almost 175 billion barrels of oil reserves. The survey cites 21.9 billion
barrels of known oil reserves and an estimated 150 billion of “undiscovered”
reserves.
Why wouldn’t Big Oil go
elsewhere to tap known or newly discovered oil reserves when faced with a
government that is hostile to permitting access to our own? Alaska alone is
still a treasure of oil and natural gas. Alaska’s North Slope, home to the Artic
National Wildlife Refuge, is known to have the potential of providing millions
of barrels of new oil production. If we started now, it would be available in
ten years, maybe less. In reality, Congress has delayed access for some three
decades!
Yes, you’re paying more for oil
and, yes, you will continue to do so because the U.S. government has failed to
grant access to our own known reserves of oil and created “environmental”
roadblocks to the building of new refineries.
Meanwhile, we keep hearing that
the world is running out of oil. I am not going to dispute geologists and others
who know far more about these matters than myself, but I am encouraged by
reports of new oil discoveries. Let’s take a look at what is actually occurring
worldwide.
- In
1995, crude oil production in Australia began in its Wanaea and Cossack
fields, located 81 miles off the northwestern coast. The fields were estimated
to contain 200 million barrels of recoverable oil.
- Six
years ago in Kazakhstan, Kazakhoil Aktobe was making plans to begin
development of three new oil fields.
- In
2003, new oil fields were found in Iran with reserves estimated as high as 38
billion barrels though analysts expressed the view that only a fraction of
that might be commercially worthwhile because it is what is called heavy crude
which is more expensive to process.
- More
recently, an oil field rivaling the largest in Mexico was discovered just off
the coast in the Gulf of Mexico. The new field is estimated to yield up to 10
billion barrels. Extraction is not expected to begin for about a decade.
- In
March 2005, Egypt’s oil minister announced that three new oil fields had been
discovered near the Gulf of Suez with estimated total reserves of 70 million
barrels. These were the first discoveries in the area in nearly forty years.
Egypt has a proven reserve of 2.7 billion barrels of oil and 1.2 trillion
cubic meters of natural gas.
- In
late 2005, Libya announced the discovery of two new oil fields in the south of
that nation. They are estimated to have a production capacity of 252 million
barrels a year. A coalition of Spanish, French, and Norwegian oil companies
that found the new fields will share the profits.
- The
Middle East will continue to dominate the world’s known reserves of oil. Saudi
Arabia has the largest, followed by Iraq. In Oman, four new oil fields were
recently discovered. The Sultanate’s crude oil exports were over 238 million
barrels in 2005.
- Even
New Zealand has discovered oil. The Tui Area oil fields in the offshore
Taranaki Basin, will be the country’s first stand-alone offshore oil
development. Nearby oil fields in Amokura and Pateke were discovered in 2003
and 2004 respectively. When everything gets going, an estimated 50,000 barrels
a day are expected, but that could rise to 120,000 barrels in time.
- The
president of Russia’s Union of Oil and Gas Industrialists wants to see more
oil development in Eastern and Western Siberia. A new field offshore of
Sakhalin, a large island just off the mainland, plus a new pipeline to
Russia’s Pacific coast is going to increase the world’s supply of oil.
- China’s
a very big place. Not only are they going to compete for the world’s oil, they
have had their own fields since 1960. In 2001, Chinese researchers announced
the discovery of new gas and oil deposits in Tibet in southwestern China. It
is an area called the Qiantang basin and initial estimates, though
speculative, suggest that China may have hit a mother lode. If it turns out to
be true, many of the world’s major oil companies will make significant
investments. There are more than a dozen Chinese oil fields currently pumping
crude.
- In
April, ExxonMobil announced that its affiliate in Nigeria had started
production from the world class Erha deepwater development, some sixty miles
offshore. It will come on-stream later this year and will ramp up to produce
up to 150,000 barrels a day by the year’s end.
I know about the “Peak Oil”
theory that says we either have or are about to reach the point of diminishing
returns regarding the world’s oil supply, but these recent discoveries suggest
there is still plenty of oil to be found. Alas, a lot of it is under the control
of nationally run oil companies in countries that don’t invest in new production
and don’t like the U.S. very much.
What is lacking, however, is the
political will of Congress to remove the regulatory barriers that would insure
an America less dependent on imported oil and with the capability to refine the
increased supplies this nation will require. We don’t have an oil problem. We
have a government problem.
—(05/10/06)
[Discuss This Article.]
Alan Caruba is a widely syndicated commentator whose weekly column, "Warning Signs", is featured in The National Anxiety Center, a clearinghouse for information about "scare campaigns" designed to influence public opinion and policy. Caruba founded the Center in 1990, having been a business and science writer for many years, in addition to being a public relations counselor who has worked with many leading think tanks, corporations, and trade associations.
Alan is founding member of the National Book Critics Circle; he also posts a monthly report on new books at Bookviews. In addition, he is a longtime member of the Society of Professional Journalists, the American Society of Journalists and Authors, and the National Association of Science Writers.
A popular guest on radio and television, Caruba is available to address groups on the topics about which he writes, including environmentalism, energy, education, national security and sovereignty, property rights, and Islam. He can be reached at:


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